My favorite game for last year College season was the Sugar Bowl huge upset triggered by Oklahoma over Alabama. I was at the Football game in New Orleans with a young woman who attended OU and at that time, it just felt right. I paid the price for both of our lower level ticket seats and then some since all my spread and teasers bets were easily all winners. a less self-assured money line wager paid out nearly as much. Speaking for myself, I hated Alabama with all the fury of the Oklahoma fan sanction of the Super Dome.
But with that said, I quickly realized I was just caught in the moment. This one game didn't install any biases on me. Alabama is clearly the much better team and I refuses to believe that Alabama had so swiftly rebuilt their Football program.
From what I could see, there was a great deal of value in this line. Our Z-Code robot seems to be a bit uncertain about a full 2 touchdowns, but my own opinion on it were that even at -14, it has great value, specially if you buy a half point. What seems reasonable to me is the money line at -500. If Alabama were to go out and knock off the Crimson Tide, this would must likely be the biggest upset of the year. Our Z-Code computer hands Alabama a 91% chance of victory.
I like the spread for small money, but I also really like the money line. I'm on it straight and in a parlay for Tomorrow. I strongly believe Alabama will easily win here and shut down Florida's offense in the process. I'm extremely doubtful they could find a way to win on the road against this Alabama team.
Alabama 34 - Florida 17
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